Muva nje, i-International Energy Agency ikhiphe umbiko othi “Electricity 2024”, okhombisa ukuthi isidingo sikagesi somhlaba sizokhula ngo-2.2% ngo-2023, okungaphansi kokukhula okungu-2.4% ngo-2022. Nakuba iShayina, iNdiya kanye namazwe amaningi eNingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia azobona ukukhula okunamandla kwesidingo sikagesi ngo-2023, isidingo sikagesi emazweni athuthukile sehle kakhulu ngenxa yendawo ecothayo yezomnotho kanye nokwehla kwamandla emali okuphezulu, kanye nokukhiqiza kanye nokukhiqiza kwezimboni nakho kuye kwaba cotha.
I-International Energy Agency ilindele ukuthi isidingo sikagesi somhlaba wonke sikhule ngesivinini esikhulu eminyakeni emithathu ezayo, okulinganiselwa ku-3.4% ngonyaka kuze kube ngu-2026. Lokhu kukhula kuzoqhutshwa umbono ongcono womnotho womhlaba, ozosiza kokubili iminotho ethuthukile kanye nesafufusa ukusheshisa ukukhula kwesidingo sikagesi. Ikakhulukazi eminothweni ethuthukile kanye naseShayina, ukuqhubeka kokufakwa kukagesi emikhakheni yokuhlala kanye nezokuthutha kanye nokwanda okukhulu komkhakha wesikhungo sedatha kuzosekela isidingo sikagesi.
I-International Energy Agency ibikezela ukuthi ukusetshenziswa kukagesi emhlabeni wonke esikhungweni sedatha, ubuhlakani bokwenziwa kanye nezimboni ze-cryptocurrency kungase kuphindwe kabili ngo-2026. Izikhungo zedatha ziyimbangela ebalulekile yokukhula kwesidingo samandla ezindaweni eziningi. Ngemva kokusebenzisa amahora angaba ngu-460 e-terawatt emhlabeni jikelele ngo-2022, ukusetshenziswa kukagesi okuphelele kwesikhungo sedatha kungafinyelela amahora angaphezu kuka-1,000 e-terawatt ngo-2026. Lesi sidingo sicishe silingane nokusetshenziswa kukagesi eJapane. Imithethonqubo eqinisiwe kanye nokuthuthukiswa kobuchwepheshe, okuhlanganisa nokuthuthukiswa kokusebenza kahle, kubalulekile ekunciphiseni ukwanda kokusetshenziswa kwamandla esikhungo sedatha.
Ngokuphathelene nokuhlinzekwa kukagesi, umbiko uthe ukukhiqizwa kukagesi okuvela emithonjeni yamandla akhipha ugesi omncane (kufaka phakathi imithombo yamandla avuselelekayo njengelanga, umoya, kanye namandla e-hydropower, kanye namandla enuzi) kuzofinyelela izinga eliphezulu kakhulu, ngaleyo ndlela kuncishiswe inani lokukhiqizwa kukagesi wezinto zasendulo. Ekuqaleni kuka-2025, amandla avuselelekayo azodlula amalahle futhi abangele okungaphezu kwengxenye yesithathu yokukhiqizwa kukagesi emhlabeni wonke. Ngo-2026, imithombo yamandla akhipha ugesi omncane kulindeleke ukuthi ibangele cishe u-50% wokukhiqizwa kukagesi emhlabeni wonke.
Umbiko waminyaka yonke wemakethe yamalahle ka-2023 owakhishwa yi-International Energy Agency ukhombisa ukuthi isidingo samalahle emhlabeni wonke sizobonisa ukwehla eminyakeni embalwa ezayo ngemuva kokufinyelela irekhodi eliphezulu ngo-2023. Lesi yisikhathi sokuqala umbiko ubikezela ukwehla kwesidingo samalahle emhlabeni jikelele. Umbiko ubikezela ukuthi isidingo samalahle emhlabeni wonke sizokhula ngo-1.4% kunonyaka odlule ngo-2023, sidlule amathani ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-8.5 okokuqala. Kodwa-ke, ngenxa yokwanda okukhulu kwamandla avuselelekayo, isidingo samalahle emhlabeni wonke sizoqhubeka sehle ngo-2.3% ngo-2026 uma kuqhathaniswa no-2023, noma ngabe ohulumeni abamemezeli futhi basebenzise izinqubomgomo zamandla ahlanzekile nezimo zezulu ezinamandla. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukuhweba ngamalahle emhlabeni wonke kulindeleke ukuthi kunciphe njengoba isidingo sehla eminyakeni ezayo.
UBirol, umqondisi we-International Energy Agency, uthe ukukhula okusheshayo kwamandla avuselelekayo kanye nokwanda okuqhubekayo kwamandla enuzi kulindeleke ukuthi kuhlangatshezwane nokukhula kwesidingo sikagesi emhlabeni wonke eminyakeni emithathu ezayo. Lokhu kungenxa kakhulu yomfutho omkhulu wamandla avuselelekayo, oholwa amandla elanga angabizi kakhulu, kodwa futhi ngenxa yokubuya okubalulekile kwamandla enuzi.
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Feb-02-2024
